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nomic, financial, socio-demographic, scientific, and technological domains makes it
possible to paint a comprehensive picture of qualitative global changes over the up-
coming twenty years.
Such a methodology uncovers the sustainable development trends of the world econ-
omy and political system as well as the participating countries, structures, and insti-
tutes.
The main task is to show what risks and opportunities arise for Russia from the key
international political and economic trends.
IN THE WORLD TODAY people are increasingly realizing that the successful de-
velopment of countries is possible only through the augmentation of joint efforts for
solving global problems. This trend counteracts the growing radicalism of marginal
regimes and different socio-political, religious and ethnic groups. Over the next 20
years, the world will develop in an evolutionary manner without the radical changes
and upheavals hat were characteristic of the preceding two decades.
Large-scale reforms will be abetted by the arrival of a new generation of leaders that
grew up in the conditions of globalization and open information society and that are
largely free from "outdated thinking." These people were born in the 1970s and 1980s,
got their education in the 1990s and 2000s, and entered political life in the 2000s and
2010s.
IN THE NEXT 20 YEARS, the ideology of globalization based on democracy and
the free market will retain its position as the leading international ideological trend.
The values of individual freedom, equality, and human rights will become increasingly
attractive on a global scale, despite ever more frequent discussions about the sustain-
ability of the capitalist model due to the global financial and economic crisis.
Growing in might, China will continue to adapt its national historic and cultural values
to the international ideological mainstream.
Different versions of the concept of equality will be replaced by the concept of non-
destabilizing inequality.
Its essence lies in the recognition of the fundamental impossibility of attaining total
equality and absolute justice. Society will maintain an ineradicable yet modifiable level
of inequality and an equitable level of saturation of demand that will not lead to socio-
political destabilization.
The influence of religions will change in an uneven fashion. The world will witness
- A territorial expansion of Islam and an increase in the number of Muslims in Europe
and the U.S.
- A growing importance of Africa, Latin America, and Asia in the Christian world
- Stagnation in the spread of Hinduism, Buddhism, and Judaism
- A growing number of people that are indifferent to all religions The adaptation of
religions to the new realities will lead to the appearance of such "hybrid" ideological
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