Упрощенная HTML-версия
http://interaffairs.ru
Author : A. Manoylo
School of Political Sciences, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Membe of the Scientific Council under
the Russian Federation Security Council, Professor, Doctor of Science (Political Sciences)
TODAY, there is a lot of talk about the recent initiative
of Ukrainian President Poroshenko: temporary cease-
fire at the line of confrontation between the Ukrainian
punitive forces and the militia of the Donetsk and Lu-
gansk People's Republics. It remains to be seen who
will profit from the respite - the population of the re-
publics or the president who feigned peace-seeking to
regroup his army battered by the militia, strengthen it
with a fresh mob of fanatics and bring armored ma-
chinery closer to the frontline.
Having announced the ceasefire, Poroshenko allowed
the National Guard to shell the positions of the militia
and even the territory of Russia. The leaders of the two republics refused to accept the ceasefire for the
simple reason that the punitive forces continued firing at their positions and civilian objects; they used all
opportunities to cause as much damage as possible.
The Ukrainian president is not an independent political figure: he has to coordinate absolutely everything
with the U.S. ambassador to Ukraine. He has to bear in mind the neo-Nazi Right Sector the activists of
which recently "returned" him, the "lawful president of all Ukraine," the presidential standard as the symbol
of his power. The president-elect cringed before the Maidan crowd, an exercise in self-abasement.
It seems that he has joined a very dangerous game in which he can perish at the hands of Yarosh or his
people; the European Union might bring him to court and put him in prison for the war crimes, genocide
and ethnic purges in the east of Ukraine of which he became a perpetrator.
Extreme radicals, nationalists and fascists, the striking force of Euromaidan still at the third level of power,
are being actively pushed away by the worried oligarchs. The most radical of them have been already con-
scripted into the National Guard, now fighting and dying in Donbass.
The favorite toy of Americans, these "big babies" of world politics, - is the technologies of chaos - which
they naively regard as "managed"; these technologies tested in the Arab Spring revolutions and applied to
the Ukrainian crisis might push the world into the black hole.
Today, the wave of managed chaos which engulfed Ukraine has moved dangerously close to the borders
of Russia. The Russian public was rightly concerned when the occasional street fighting between crowds
of ruffians and the police promptly developed into an organized armed riot. Thesame can be said about
the punitive operation of the new Ukrainian leaders against the people in Donbass, Slavic people tied to
Russians by their shared past.
Russia should learn from the Ukrainian experience; it should be ready to rebuff another Anglo-Saxon color
revolution tested in the traditional eastern-type society, as well as in the highly centralized state with a
vertical of power but without sufficient "safety airbag" in the form of civil society able to stand up to the
treacherous intentions of the architects of color revolutions.
The president and the government should create a state system of opposition to color revolutions with
clear plans of action which can be later borrowed by other Soviet successor states.
Managed Chaos Strategies as Part of the Ukrainian Political Crisis